Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.005818 0.006662 0.007640 0.008867 0.010387 0.012232 0.014681
2025-11-23 0.004741 0.005799 0.007147 0.009038 0.011702 0.015458 0.021435
2025-11-30 0.004028 0.005131 0.006625 0.008878 0.012355 0.017842 0.027965
2025-12-07 0.003496 0.004583 0.006120 0.008568 0.012618 0.019620 0.034329
2025-12-14 0.003146 0.004224 0.005806 0.008448 0.013105 0.021886 0.042918
2025-12-21 0.002962 0.004074 0.005770 0.008744 0.014359 0.026037 0.058869
2025-12-28 0.002838 0.003995 0.005824 0.009190 0.016008 0.031760 0.085208
2026-01-04 0.002675 0.003833 0.005715 0.009317 0.017047 0.036610 0.115981
2026-01-11 0.002499 0.003631 0.005511 0.009224 0.017578 0.040440 0.150090
2026-01-18 0.002363 0.003481 0.005378 0.009244 0.018378 0.045561 0.204277
2026-01-25 0.002207 0.003282 0.005137 0.009003 0.018473 0.048535 0.255751
2026-02-01 0.002043 0.003057 0.004826 0.008570 0.017972 0.049203 0.293330
2026-02-08 0.001895 0.002861 0.004567 0.008251 0.017816 0.051637 0.370257
2026-02-15 0.001819 0.002781 0.004521 0.008403 0.019052 0.060996 0.633433
2026-02-22 0.001716 0.002648 0.004358 0.008259 0.019382 0.066815 0.961153
2026-03-01 0.001609 0.002500 0.004150 0.007978 0.019209 0.070118 1.350208
2026-03-08 0.001531 0.002396 0.004021 0.007869 0.019572 0.077001 2.331831
2026-03-15 0.001496 0.002369 0.004044 0.008137 0.021327 0.095355 8.470775
2026-03-22 0.001474 0.002366 0.004114 0.008540 0.023785 0.124821 223.004075
2026-03-29 0.001429 0.002315 0.004078 0.008656 0.025207 0.150238 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001372 0.002236 0.003975 0.008571 0.025780 0.169419 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001326 0.002177 0.003912 0.008590 0.026838 0.199197 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001267 0.002088 0.003774 0.008371 0.026730 0.213400 NaN